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Tracking your bets: the record that tells you whether you are winning

A spreadsheet with twelve columns will tell you more about your betting than any tipster, and it is the only defence you have when an operator disputes a bet. What to log and what to calculate.

Key points

  • Log every bet before it settles: date, market, selection, odds, stake, operator, result, closing odds.
  • Yield (profit divided by turnover) and closing-line value are the two numbers that matter; win rate is decoration.
  • Review monthly, by market and by operator: the record shows where you win and who is limiting you.

Why bother

Memory keeps the wins and edits the losses. Every bettor who starts a record is surprised by it, usually in the same direction. The record also answers the practical questions: which markets pay, which operators pay you slowly, which accounts have been limited, and what to show a regulator when a bet is voided without explanation.

What to log

ColumnWhy
Date and timeSeparates pre-match from live; shows when you bet badly
Sport, competition, marketYield by market is the most useful cut
SelectionObvious, and needed for disputes
Odds takenIn decimal
Closing oddsAt a sharp book, at kick-off; the edge test
Stake, in units and in moneyShows whether confidence staking works
OperatorYield by operator, and who limits you
Bet typeSingle, accumulator, builder; multiples usually show the worst yield
Bonus or free betPromotional results kept apart from real ones
Result and profit or lossNet of stake
Bet ID and screenshotEvidence for disputes
Reason, in a few wordsRead it back after the result; it is humbling and useful

What to calculate

Turnover: total staked. Profit: total returned minus total staked. Yield: profit divided by turnover, the number that describes a bettor. Five percent is excellent, two is professional, zero after a thousand bets is entertainment. Closing-line value: the average of (odds taken / closing odds) - 1; positive means you beat the market. Hit rate: wins divided by bets, useful only alongside average odds. Maximum drawdown: the largest fall from a peak, which tells you whether the stake size is right.

Reading a record. Yield +3 percent on singles, -6 percent on accumulators, closing-line value +2 percent on football and -1 percent on tennis: the record says bet singles, drop the tennis, and expect the football to keep paying. Six months of it are worth more than any system.

Tools

A spreadsheet is enough and lasts forever. Tracking apps add automatic settlement and charts and lose your data when they close. Whatever you use, export it monthly. Operators’ own bet histories are useful for reconciliation but are not yours: they disappear with the account.

The review

Once a month, thirty minutes. Yield by sport, by market, by operator, by bet type. Closing-line value overall. Stakes against the plan. Then one decision: what to stop doing. The record improves results not by finding winners but by removing the bets that lose.

Frequently asked questions

How many bets before the record means anything?

A few hundred for yield; closing-line value shows an edge much sooner.

Should I include free bets?

Log them, but keep promotional results separate from real-money yield.

Do I need closing odds for every bet?

Yes if you want to know whether you have an edge; a sharp book’s price at kick-off, noted once.

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